Question
How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?
Resolved:5.07822MTotal Forecasters546
Community Prediction
2.04M
(1.52M - 2.91M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <200 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.521M | — |
| median | 2.044M | — |
| upper 75% | 2.909M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100M | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?5.07822M
Community Peer Score
51.7
Community Baseline Score
35.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020