Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
ๆ
Log in
Sign Up
6
comments
33
forecasters
Will IS return to Syria before 2031?
50.2%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
pashka24
Opened:
Apr 24, 2025
Closes:
Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:
Apr 28, 2025
Verity
Geopolitics
News Match
Persistent Violence Fuels Fears Among Post-Assad Syrians
AntiWar
โข
Nov 12, 2025
Syria Joins Global Coalition to Defeat the Islamic State
Breitbart
โข
Nov 11, 2025
Report: Syria Claims Islamic State Tried to Kill Jihadi President Ahmed al-Sharaa
Breitbart
โข
Nov 11, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Syria be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040?
10%
chance
15
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
6%
chance
2.1k
Will one UN member state recognize Kurdistan before 2036?
12%
chance
10
Show More Questions
