38 forecasters

Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?

7%chance

Top Key Factors

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 1, 2025

Closes:

Jan 21, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 5, 2025

Trump’s squeeze of Venezuela goes beyond ‘Monroe doctrine’ – in ideology, intent and scale, it’s unprecedented

The Conversation•Nov 2, 2025

Venezuela strikes: Everything to know about Trump’s war on narco-terrorists and how Nicolás Maduro responded

Independent•Oct 31, 2025

US plans to BOMB Venezuela as Trump's war hawks brand Maduro 'al-Qaeda of the West'

Daily Mail•Oct 31, 2025

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