14 forecasters

Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?

18%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 3, 2025

Closes:

Mar 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 7, 2025

Trump DOJ risks losing death penalty for Luigi Mangione if officials don’t stop talking about his ‘guilt’: judge

Independent•Sep 25, 2025

Luigi Mangione Update: Trump DOJ Warned by Judge Over Uni...

Newsweek•Sep 24, 2025

Luigi Mangione's lawyers demand prosecutors drop death penalty push as they say Pam Bondi's PR stunts have tainted trial

Daily Mail•Sep 22, 2025

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