Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
11
comments
15
forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
15%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
pashka24
Opened:
Mar 3, 2025
Closes:
Mar 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:
Mar 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 7, 2025
Verity
Politics
News Match
Luigi Mangione allegedly beaten by ‘7 ladyboys’ after $1,500 dispute — months before gunning down UnitedHealth CEO
New York Post
•
Nov 9, 2025
Sordid truth about night seven ladyboys 'beat up' Luigi Mangione after visit to Thai sex bar: Texts and photos revealed in tell-all
Daily Mail
•
Nov 9, 2025
Bombshell REDACTED entry in Luigi Mangione's prison diary that may prove he's found love behind bars... as friends talk about intimate problems that kept him single for years
Daily Mail
•
Nov 8, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?
86%
chance
13
Will Lucy Letby's murder convictions be overturned within twenty years of her trial?
80%
chance
12
Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?
7%
chance
20
Show More Questions
