47 forecasters

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

37%chance

37%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 37% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 4, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 8, 2025

Health & Pandemics

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