Question

How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025?

Resolved:481 cases
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction
479 cases
(426 cases - 536 cases)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%425.7
median478.9
upper 75%536
Upper bound
>10001.2%

What was the final result?481 cases

Community Baseline Score
34.6
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 3, 2025
Closes:Mar 31, 2025
Resolves:Apr 6, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2025