69 forecasters

Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 10, 2025

Closes:

Mar 31, 2025

Resolved:

Apr 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 12, 2025

🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Health & Pandemics

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

Private donors raise more than $125M to fund aid programs after U.S. cuts

PBS NewsHour•Oct 28, 2025

Private donors gave more than $125M to keep foreign aid programs going after US cuts

Associated Press•Oct 27, 2025

How New Trump Multiyear Policy Makes NIH Grants Even Harder To Get

Forbes•Oct 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

How much in total contributions will the Global Fund receive in its next 3-year cycle (2026-2028)?