Question
Will a Chinese model have a higher Arena Score than all Google models on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 1st Quarter of 2025?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters32
Community Prediction
25%
(20% - 35%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
20.4
Community Baseline Score
54.5
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2025
Closes:Mar 12, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2025
Question Weight:50%
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2025
Closes:Mar 12, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2025
Question Weight:50%
Include Bots:Yes
