Question

What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025?

Resolved:14.39 °C
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
14.3 °C
(14.2 °C - 14.4 °C)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<14 °C3.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%14.22 °C
median14.32 °C
upper 75%14.44 °C
Upper bound
>15 °C0.4%

What was the final result?14.39 °C

Community Baseline Score
10.0
Community Peer Score
23.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2025
Closes:Mar 31, 2025
Resolves:Apr 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 21, 2025