13 forecasters

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

86%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 23, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2025

International Criminal Court details crimes against humanity charges against former Philippine President Duterte

PBS NewsHour•Sep 23, 2025

ICC Charges Former Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte with 3 Counts of Crimes Against Humanity

Democracy Now•Sep 23, 2025

ICC charges former Philippine President Duterte with crimes against humanity

NPR Online News•Sep 23, 2025

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