Question

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction

12.5%

(10% - 27.8%)

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50%

community: 12.5%

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Authors:

Perspectus

Opened:

Mar 19, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 23, 2025

Effective Institutions Project

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Geopolitics

Should the U.S. Recognize North Korea as a Nuclear Weapons Power?

AntiWar•Aug 11, 2025

With only one nuclear arms pact left between the U.S. and Russia, a new arms race is possible

PBS NewsHour•Aug 6, 2025

Mutually assured destruction is dead. Enemies are circling. And the Pentagon is divided. Nuclear threat is escalating and there's calls for the military to act... before it's too late

Daily Mail•Aug 6, 2025

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