Question
How many posts will there be on the Effective Altruism Forum in 2020?
Resolved:1625Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
1618
(1593 - 1643)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1593 | — |
| median | 1618 | — |
| upper 75% | 1643 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3000 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?1625
Community Baseline Score
78.7
Community Peer Score
11.9
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2020