10 comments
32 forecasters
How many posts will there be on the Effective Altruism Forum in 2020?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2020
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
39.6 users
(33 - 44.6)
39.6 users
(33 - 44.6)
18 forecasters
How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
26 forecasters
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90