Question

Will a Max show win the 2025 GLAAD Media Award for Outstanding Comedy Series?

Resolved:Yes

93 comments93

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction

55%

(40% - 61.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

11.4

Community Baseline Score

8.4

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Mar 18, 2025

Closes:

Mar 18, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 28, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 18, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

32%

Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?

11%

Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?

20%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Mar 18, 2025

Closes:

Mar 18, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 28, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 18, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

32%

Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?

11%

Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?

20%