Question
How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
197 nations
(194 nations - 203 nations)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <185 | 2.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 194 | — |
| median | 197.3 | — |
| upper 75% | 202.6 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >240 | 0.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 11, 2020
Closes:Jan 25, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Feb 11, 2020
Closes:Jan 25, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2020