8 comments
100 forecasters
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2020
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1% chance
22
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1% chance
102
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Nov 2059
(Sep 2047 - >2100)
Nov 2059
(Sep 2047 - >2100)
13 forecasters