Question

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

8 comments8

25 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 24

Other Cabinet Member

Pete Hegseth

Marco Rubio

Howard Lutnick

Linda McMahon

Pam Bondi

Make a Prediction

		My Prediction		Me
Howard Lutnick	6.9%

Linda McMahon	5%

Marco Rubio	9.9%

Pam Bondi	4.8%

Susie Wiles	4.2%

Sean Duffy	3.5%

Pete Hegseth	31.1%

Other Cabinet Member	34.7%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

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Authors:

dougiebuckets

Opened:

Mar 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 24, 2025

Adjacent

Politics

How many members of the Trump cabinet will remain in their positions continuously until January 20, 2029?

6.03

Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?

11%

Will an attempt be made to fire Jerome Powell before the end of his term?

12%

Authors:

dougiebuckets

Opened:

Mar 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 24, 2025

Adjacent

Politics

How many members of the Trump cabinet will remain in their positions continuously until January 20, 2029?

6.03

Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?

11%

Will an attempt be made to fire Jerome Powell before the end of his term?

12%