Question

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters254

Community Prediction

65%

(45% - 70%)

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50%

community: 65%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Mar 28, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 1, 2028

Opinion - Trust deficit: Global markets are losing faith in the US

•Jun 24, 2025

UBS Calls Dollar “Unattractive” As Gold Becomes A Preferred Reserve Asset

Forbes•Jun 24, 2025

Bank of America bets on ‘outsized price movements’ in Australia’s bond market as investors rotate away from the U.S.

CNBC•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the USD fraction of allocated global foreign exchange currencies be below 50% before the following years?

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?

14.5

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Mar 28, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 1, 2028

Opinion - Trust deficit: Global markets are losing faith in the US

•Jun 24, 2025

UBS Calls Dollar “Unattractive” As Gold Becomes A Preferred Reserve Asset

Forbes•Jun 24, 2025

Bank of America bets on ‘outsized price movements’ in Australia’s bond market as investors rotate away from the U.S.

CNBC•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the USD fraction of allocated global foreign exchange currencies be below 50% before the following years?

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?

14.5