Question

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

Total Forecasters381
Community Prediction
11%
(8.2% - 17%)

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50%
community: 11%
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Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 20, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2029