Question

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2021 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

Resolved:Ambiguous

10 comments10

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction

93%

(88% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Feb 11, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 23, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 13, 2020

Natural Sciences

Space

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99%

Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?

51.4%

Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?

39%