9 comments
345 forecasters
Will the US establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before January 3, 2027?
35%chance
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Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 2, 2025
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
6% chance
1.4k
Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?
20% chance
126
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10% chance
36