Question

Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters148

Community Prediction

76%

(71% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

24.9

Community Baseline Score

27.2

Authors:

Opened:

May 5, 2025

Closes:

Jun 5, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 12, 2025

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

0.1%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

80%

Will Maersk resume shipping in the Red Sea in 2025?

39%