Question

What will be the total median number of global under-5 child deaths reported in UNICEF's 2026 report for 2024?

Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
4.67 Million deaths
(4.52 Million deaths - 4.81 Million deaths)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<3.30.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%4.522
median4.666
upper 75%4.81
Upper bound
>6.30.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2025
Closes:Feb 28, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Apr 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2026