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13
225
forecasters
1
13 comments
225 forecasters
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
2 more...
Who will win the Tour de France 2025?
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Tadej Pogačar
result:
Yes
Jonas Vingegaard
2%
Remco Evenepoel
0.1%
Primož Roglič
0.1%
3 others
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1 comment
84 forecasters
Tour de France 2026 Winner?
Tadej Pogačar
50.9%
Jonas Vingegaard
26.5%
Remco Evenepoel
8.2%
Other
5.1%
3 others
9 comments
21 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship?
Charles Leclerc
12.3%
George Russell
30.6%
Kimi Antonelli
34.6%
Max Verstappen
7.6%
19 others
14 comments
135 forecasters
2026 Colombian Presidential Election Winner?
Iván Cepeda
22%
Abelardo de la Espriella
77.8%
Paloma Valencia
0.1%
Another candidate
0.1%
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
8 comments
64 forecasters
Who will win the bet? Gary Marcus vs Nathan Young, on Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?
Gary Marcus win
96.2%
Nathan Young win
3.7%
Other
0.1%
14 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
44.8%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17.7%
Other
27%
4 others
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
7 comments
8 forecasters
Next UN Secretary General?
Rafael Grossi
25.6%
Michelle Bachelet
25.6%
Rebeca Grynspan
25.6%
Other
22.4%
Macky Sall
0.9%