Question

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

2
3
18 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

Number of successful launchesMe
0
0.1%
1
23%
2
43.7%
3
27.2%
4
5.1%
5 or more
0.9%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2025