Question

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

2
3
15 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

Number of successful launchesMe
0
0.1%
1
7.2%
2
23.7%
3
29.9%
4
23.7%
5 or more
15.4%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2025