14 comments
177 forecasters
Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?
0.1%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Nov 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 5, 2020
Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
2.5% chance
95
Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?
31% chance
50
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
0.5% chance
65