9 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

33%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 13, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2025

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Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

American beef supply could be in peril as flesh-eating parasite found not far from US border

FOX News•Sep 26, 2025

New screwworm case detected by Mexico closest to US border since outbreak began in cattle ranches

FOX News•Sep 25, 2025

Mexico activates emergency controls after flesh-eating worm found near US border

Independent•Sep 23, 2025

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