23 comments
67 forecasters
Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Thailand by May 1?
69%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 69% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2020
Closes:Apr 1, 2020
Resolved:Mar 23, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 14, 2020
Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?
14.7% chance
68
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
65 forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
0.1% chance
82