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    Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Thailand by May 1?

    Created by CullenOKeefe on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by CullenOKeefe on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Question

    The CDC's level 3 Travel Health Notice advises against non-essential travel:

    Warning Level 3 (Red): Avoid all non-essential travel to this destination. The outbreak is of high risk to travelers and no precautions are available to protect against the identified increased risk.

    As of February 11th, 2020 the CDC issues level 3 travel health notices for China and Venezuela.

    This question will resolve positively if the CDC issues a Warning Level 3 Travel Health notice for Thailand (or any part thereof) before 00:00 GMT on May 1st, due to the 2019 novel coronavirus. Determination of the answer will be made by consulting the relevant CDC noticeboard. Positive resolution requires the CDC mentioning the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in their reasons for issuing the Level 3 Travel Health Notice.

    Categories:
    Biology – Infectious Disease
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)
    Short fuse

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