Question

When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?

Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction
23 Jun 2028
(06 Oct 2026 - Dec 2030)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%06 Oct 2026
median23 Jun 2028
upper 75%Dec 2030
Upper bound
>20990.2%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2020