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40 forecasters

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40 forecasters

Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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2 comments93 forecasters

Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

3 comments44 forecasters

US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?

4 comments4 forecasters

Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner60%

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election40%

7 comments43 forecasters

Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?

2 comments11 forecasters

Polymarket "Holding Rewards" falls below 4% before 2028?

25 comments103 forecasters

Yang's Forward Party to take off

0 comments6 forecasters

What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?

Current estimate

13 comments797 forecasters

S&P 500 closes above 7,500 at end-2026?