20 comments
68 forecasters
Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?
15%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 23, 2020
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5% chance
43
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1.5% chance
103
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
33% chance
79