Question

Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?

Resolved:No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction

15%

(10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

30.7

Community Peer Score

18.8

Authors:

Haifisch

Opened:

Feb 21, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2021

Resolves:

Nov 3, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 23, 2020

Elections

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%