Question
When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
Total Forecasters108
Community Prediction
06 Mar 2026
(10 Jan 2025 - 23 Nov 2027)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 10 Jan 2025 | — |
| median | 06 Mar 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 23 Nov 2027 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020