Question
When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
Total Forecasters108
Community Prediction
10 Mar 2026
(26 Dec 2024 - 03 Jan 2028)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Dec 2024 | — |
| median | 10 Mar 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 03 Jan 2028 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020