32 comments
108 forecasters
When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
Current estimate
08 Apr 2026
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020