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    How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?

    Created by ignorance.prior and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
    on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    On December 31, 2019, the World Health Organization (WHO) was informed of an outbreak of “pneumonia of unknown cause” detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China – the seventh-largest city in China with 11 million residents.

    By February 21, the virus had spread to approximately 30 countries, including four within the WHO South-East Asian Region (Thailand, India, Nepal, and Sri Lanka).

    Every day, the WHO posts a situation report breaking down the number of confirmed cases by region. The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) also visualizes and tracks the reported cases on a daily timescale.

    How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) will be reported in South-East Asia by the WHO on March 27?

    If no WHO report with the specified information is published on March 27, we defer to the last such WHO report published before that date.

    According to the WHO, South-East Asia is defined as including the entire territory of the following countries:

    Bangladesh, Bhutan, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, India, Indonesia, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Timor-Leste

    Note that the count excludes cases classified under "international conveyance", such as cruise ships.

    Categories:
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)
    Biological Sciences – Medicine

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