Question

Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?

Resolved:No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters239

Community Prediction

(1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

13.0

Community Baseline Score

69.8

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

May 12, 2025

Closes:

Aug 1, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 15, 2025

Metaculus Cup

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Geopolitics

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The Europeans Finally Move to 'Snapback' the Backbreaking Iran Sanctions Lifted in 2015

PJ Media•Aug 30, 2025

Iran Speaks Out on Nuclear Sanctions and Trump

Newsweek•Aug 29, 2025

UK, France, Germany trigger UN sanctions on Iran over 'significant' nuclear program defiance

FOX News•Aug 28, 2025

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