5 comments
4 forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
1.94 CRT
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Authors:
Opened:May 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 12, 2025
How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?
48 forecasters
Will the study of chlorine distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in chlorine usage by the recipients?
91% chance
57
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
90% chance
64