Question
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
4.63 CRT
(2.12 CRT - 9.01 CRT)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.124 CRT | — |
| median | 4.63 CRT | — |
| upper 75% | 9.013 CRT | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >25 CRT | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2026
Authors:
Opened:May 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2026