Question
What proportion of novel coronavirus infections outside China by March 27 will be due to exposure in China?
Resolved:0.087Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
0.0692
(0.0349 - 0.0993)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.03485 | — |
| median | 0.06922 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.09934 | — |
What was the final result?0.087
Community Baseline Score
96.0
Community Peer Score
14.8
Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2020
Closes:Mar 27, 2020
Resolves:Mar 27, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2020
Closes:Mar 27, 2020
Resolves:Mar 27, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2020