Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
21
40
forecasters
6
21 comments
40 forecasters
Computing and Math
2 more...
Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?
Follow
share
embed
community
0.913
result
0.922824
Resolved
0.922824
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (21)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
4 comments
10 forecasters
Sentinel-2 compressed 1000× before 2032?
5%
chance
4 comments
12 forecasters
Largest Common Crawl in TiB by 2032
Current estimate
803 TiB
1 comment
17 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2030
Current estimate
96.4%
3 comments
25 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2040
Current estimate
99%
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
8 comments
37 forecasters
Development of Human-Level Language Models
Current estimate
18 Feb 2024
26 comments
739 forecasters
Top ARC-AGI-2 score in 2026?
Current estimate
92.9
10 comments
53 forecasters
Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030
Current estimate
1.29M B