Question

Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?

Resolved:No
37
209
Total Forecasters236
Community Prediction
80%
(75% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-178.8
Community Peer Score
14.2
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:Feb 25, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2020
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard