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    Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?

    Created by ignorance.prior on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Your submission is now in Draft mode. Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    Question

    For the purpose of this question, only Metaculus accounts created prior to this question's opening date count. Users must comment on this post to be counted. Such comments should include:

    1. The date on which the user received a positive test result for COVID-19.
    2. Some sort of evidence to back up their claims, such as a photo of a doctor's note, ideally with a doctor's signature.

    The evidence can be presented either publicly in comment itself or via private correspondence with site moderators. It is up to the judgment of the moderators to determine the legitimacy of claimed diagnoses.

    Edit (4 April): Positive serology tests that establish, beyond reasonable doubt, that the user has had an infection, is sufficient for positive resolution.

    Categories:
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)

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