209 comments
236 forecasters
Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?
80%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 25, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2020
Resolved:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2020