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46 comments
138 forecasters

When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?

community
21 Mar 2024
result
Ambiguous
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Mati_Roy
Opened:Jul 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Resolved:Dec 16, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2020
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Red State logo
Energy Secretary Chris Wright Predicts Practical Fusion Power in Near Future
Red State•Sep 13, 2025
TechCrunch logo
Nuclear startup Deep Fission goes public in a curious SPAC
TechCrunch•Sep 9, 2025
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When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

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When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

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Oct 2043
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Jul 2037
32 forecasters

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Jul 2051
(Aug 2040 - May 2062)
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95 forecasters
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