Question
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters138
Community Prediction
21 Mar 2024
(08 Sep 2022 - Apr 2028)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 08 Sep 2022 | — |
| median | 21 Mar 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2020