Question
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction
4.83 states
(2.88 states - 7.46 states)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.875 | — |
| median | 4.826 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.463 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 4.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2020