Question

If the U.S. sees at least 50,000 COVID-19 cases before November 2020, will Trump be reelected president in 2020?

Resolved:No
5
20
Total Forecasters93
Community Prediction
45%
(40% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 45%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
17.2
Community Peer Score
1.6
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Feb 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 30, 2020
Resolves:Nov 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2020
Elections
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard