23
256 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Other
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Top Key Factors
California's governance reputation
Decreases Likelihood for Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom is very similar to Kamala Harrisslowboring.com•Feb 2, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Newsom hasn't beaten Republicans
Decreases Likelihood for Gavin Newsom
California's governance reputation
Decreases Likelihood for Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom is very similar to Kamala Harrisslowboring.com•Feb 2, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Newsom hasn't beaten Republicans
Decreases Likelihood for Gavin Newsom