Question

Will JHU CSSE's COVID-19 dashboard remain open and maintained through 2020-12-31?

Resolved:Yes

17 comments17

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

85.0

Community Peer Score

7.9

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Feb 28, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 29, 2020

Metaculus

Health & Pandemics

2020 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%