Question

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

6
2 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 2

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Chevron (Richmond)
5.5%
PBF Energy (Martinez)
8.5%
Marathon (Carson)
5.5%
Chevron (El Segundo)
5.5%
PBF Energy (Torrance)
8.5%
Valero (Wilmington)
63.5%
No announcement
3%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Opened:May 6, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2025