FORECAST
Facebook Twitter
  • Embed
  • Copy Link
    •
  • Approval
  • Set Reminder
  • Share private question
  • Unsubscribe from question
  • View Metaculus Prediction
  • {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction
    •

    Your submission is now in Draft mode.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    Submit Essay

    Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

    Pending

    This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    Submitted

    This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

    How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in the entire Bay Area will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020?

    Created by CullenOKeefe on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
    Community prediction hidden until {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}}
    Published by CullenOKeefe on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}.
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Question

    How many (cumulative) total confirmed cases of coronavirus in the San Francisco Bay Area will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020 at noon PT?

    Resolution Criteria: The JHU Coronavirus monitoring dashboard. The list of cities and counties in the Bay Area is defined by the Bay Area Census.

    EDIT 22 March: This question will now resolve on the basis of the data.citizen-times dashboard, as the JHU monitoring dashboard ceased to disaggregates CA cases by city or county.

    Categories:
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.