Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
2
38
forecasters
8
2 comments
38 forecasters
Environment & Climate
1 more...
When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?
Follow
share
embed
Latest estimate
12 Jul 2029
12 Jul 2029
(12 May 2026 - Sep 2034)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (2)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
8 comments
148 forecasters
3.6°C Global Warming by 2100
22%
chance
6 comments
693 forecasters
Global temperature anomaly in 2026?
Current estimate
1.45 °C
17 comments
140 forecasters
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Current estimate
Jun 2042
125 comments
595 forecasters
Global Warming in 2100 over 1880 Baseline
Current estimate
2.99 °C
6 comments
54 forecasters
Longbets: At least 2C of Warming by 2037
31%
chance
12 comments
35 forecasters
Date of first yearly CO2 decline?
Current estimate
May 2051
46 comments
104 forecasters
Which will be the warmest year on record according to NASA?
2024
result:
Yes
2025
result:
No
2026
18%
2030
50%
2 others
0 comments
54 forecasters
CO₂ below 433.19 ppm over 2024 to 2027?
43%
chance